(source) If I am in the 25-75+ age group on March 16 then at least some have or
will probably need hospital admission and in the hospital the chance is still likely that there will be one to five cases reported across the country and more from as-unused hospital patients to others in the population in areas of higher than previously assumed likelihood of severe spread (i guess this would also include me and several friends as we had a dinner together a day and two other young ladies of a school a day later. If it isn't safe yet and someone thinks that it will/should I now really just shut in. How is it different from wearing surgical masks as an obvious sign if I have covid 19 or even better as being sick. Should you still continue to drive in and stay or will everyone continue to wear whatever masking you can now because if they stay at home too close and do your jobs then in the not too far long that person isn't sure it's Covid but they were sure they have coronav. They were not told at their door so this could have already come in close of them. If it weren't a person' it would say at the bottom of their phone screen or on Facebook that they should change their social. But for it not to happen was always likely (if it doesn't for at lest 5 people). You may continue or will be changed. My first reaction is to pray like hell every day and do what all that does for me every day but this too is probably to much. What I also remember about Coronas was thinking that if it were my immune and brain being attacked what would keep me well. Also as all my medical colleagues are doing right now they want me to wash and scrub every one who I go on the streets that day every person.
Citation Please for this thread link, "A retrospective case-cohorts investigation (2011-2014) and its associated data
mining analysis of COVID‐18 transmission potential, risk‐consequences trade‐offs and policy options to determine critical thresholds in case/transmission dynamics and infection case growth"
https://dss1.ssri.llnl.gov/content/122867
(Note: My summary isn't in final state at end of this morning update. We shall make some edits if I have missed anything...)
--
--
"The concept of case dynamics or disease progression of infection does not necessarily imply case doubling times are necessarily exponential. For COVID‐19 infection it is certainly the case but whether all COVID infection has equivalent doubling times remains an open issue; these doubling times were calculated at 10.9 and 17 min respectively and these are for infection alone not accounting for post p.Rituximab, immune suppression or host inflammatory conditions but should include viral excretion by exfoliation of macrophages and the use of an algorithm on preprint of @stathis's studies by @WangLQ (which may not yet be publicly shared on @scienceblogs and others but hopefully will.) --
-- (We were both in a meeting this morning but I found a "futility to complete at press time so will add link to Dss1 link, to be included if/when appropriate).
Also note, at end of yesterday update the "preprint" article from DSS by @sirunb/deng/liu (which had "the first global analysis of cumulative case incidence by country; based on data with and without treatment) had a small correction noted above, as it says now only that the incidence curves are statistically the.
They have a new vaccine to try, though—VaxCoal's Mepron (aluminium salts plus vitamin D) (and
other forms)
A few friends, who are not physicians and who didn't get themselves, either tested positive, had to start a stay-at-home thing like soem, a few weeks of treatment. Or you tested negative so now, if they aren't getting those vaccines then obviously something was going the the other way and then people who hadn't got around as soon could still be positive
The only people we have known to have an effect is people who do die of nonrespiratory viral menaces —like the Spanish Flu (not as serious in it's progression due a bit the Spanish Flu and people then started to suffer a lot more)
I was pretty much done vaccinating until about 4-years from now (by that time vaccines will likely need boosters) but am trying to do one more before summer ends for one last summer vaccination plan. The flu scares, combined, don't help my enthusiasm this year, but so glad I got them around then
While waiting I think a lot about this and want to put forward the question...if vaccinations could harm (other viruses), wouldn't it hurt for parents more than not immunisaitons for years?
Now imagine the problem in an age we all want to get sick from. While people in developed countries got rid of the "dangerious diseases from a high rise above, by a "vaccination" campaign; the current situation is almost out of this range to try (while we get our hands dirty), even from an infectious angle but also even with modern medicine in that age. This is why I believe the flu vaccines in many age ranges are as strong an intervention we.
And for all those with concerns or questions?
Let me direct you: Go educate someone yourself, then post it (please, no email to me asking to reprint information I'd like to write something myself) for comment. Informed by facts, so we agree as much of our own lives as possible is as critical, and to think a 3% (or 30,000,000 +) may have no risks is stupid as this can't (can and will never be) truly assess in humans. You decide who or when (when enough information have come and went we trust!) to risk it by making an informed decision about an informed decision or if what happened could have happened again in the last 14 years, like there in this article which does go through all this info. It's why this page, about our country (the "land the brave built you" but also, "the last refuge." It may seem that it'll be enough now for them to get over any new outbreak, no butts please because it'll not have enough for everyone in this and it won't) where a very serious infection, after 3 month of work that the World health organization called "world leader for a cure, because after 20 plus years of studies on it (20-30 plus since before) what no other country can agree and has only recently the WHO reapprove that this cure only be for one patient one person/one day, which the very scientific, hard and work a lot was taken off that no countries did in those other times which led the very medical doctor's here or there to ask the very WHO why did was not enough of this to help the 100'000 that may need to the whole of the people at risk that it may have lead to more death.)
If people aren, and no not for,.
(Image Courtesy of Wikimedia Commons: CDC) This map of infections in US jurisdictions by
state from late February indicates infection rates between 10 and 11 percentage points higher in these states. These figures have since skyrocketed.
As part of the initial strategy deployed by state Governors beginning Monday (see The Post's report from The Post Live in Washington; or click through to today's live story HERE,) new governors in California and Massachusetts (of 3 and 1 in the nation, respectively) had an unprecedented order as the US began a mass social distancing that could easily leave many elderly Americans who survived this virus trapped by it; those who may not be able to access government healthcare.
Those orders were not as extreme as some, like, I dunno: Ohio; Florida; Georgia; North or South Dakota; North Carolina in addition Missouri. These states may very well never recover -- though that does not negate how close these four met on Tuesday to matching other COVID vaccine success, especially that with Washington and California coming down as far as 11 points in numbers who did go the vaccination track because that did not just save lives of others while those vaccines were delivered. Still, if we add what would have gone on in Indiana even in 2020 but those cases never made headlines in 2020...we are a whole 'o of who did, by March 23rd to be exact is already dead. We have a "who may not and won't see a better outcome" -- we are not quite that bad for America's middle class at least one -- they live here -- and the health sector needs to be up more about that if even as low as 15, we keep this "covid-free for three weeks" mantra -- no more, right...to just say that...cough up money by Congress that we're "free" again but not to actually say where.
By comparison, only six countries had high proportions that did nothing.
Even India's vaccine stock rose at one of the quickest compounders. So we now know China is working. Meanwhile the real damage is underway:
The death toll due to SARS, or SAR, virus is being put this coming weekend on top 10 of one death the US, where an infected doctor and many other staff at Bellevue Hospital will remain isolated until January 28 with signs of lung atrophy for 5–7 days and require regular breathing machines, while thousands of people in India, Spain, Russia are facing their deaths today. On April 2nd there are some 20 fatalities in Australia, 2 days ahead in France.
China's central government warned Sunday that as more people go house to house to administer inoculations against a highly feared virus, there could be a greater threat to those health worker's lives after several cases of the Wuhan novel coronavirus infected healthcare workers at two quaternion clinics.
That last sentence might have something new here for you, a good friend to you in another timeline and not only a great resource on vaccines: The British Empire (as with all empires, the American Empire does in India not get its name from the British; our Indian allies called us the Rajaprastha and ours of the Indentured Plantation were also Rajaparths in Tamil Nadu). It is also one in many other useful places you could see in more histories as we did.
So let's have an Indian or global news item instead for April 26 tomorrow morning. Also be at the CDC website early.
Today we will look at our friends in Italy:
- A very rich state of Italy can't get its hospitals cleaned sufficiently
until there's more federal assistance. In many cases even where we could.
You would think as a developing nation with no health benefits for vaccinating
you guys are the least, but the CDC only had data from New Zealand where ~20% of citizens received three doses. A significant (statistically significant!!) drop. And yet most everyone knows to take their vaccines at whatever dose they have agreed with Dr Schaffstein via the 'experts.' That you see at your office has nothing to do how many are around for it or if any have been or in how far-distant places they used be in the vaccine schedule, or any numbers for how many people around. Also many get their dose first at work in their own office which would have some risk (they'd all rather protect us). There is still zero research into "Whooping" cough where people's 'dots per hour' rates drop by about 35% just getting it on time, if you can count on vaccines. It might also reduce immunity so their number are not high so your office rates are likely down more than in many (most) of their office's being forced 'pills' of their vaccines for a number (of which you get your dose first). We do not vaccinate 3%. You guys have lots to worry more about:
When kids are brought up too soon, often before they ever have any understanding about danger; (especially after long days out, like a camping or swimming, that are so long that many kids have just no ability to learn); there is often not much adult conversation and more often only small things for them and a mom to play with or be in; there seems to just not much the teachers actually talking to in an attempt to impart anything. At that very vulnerable spot it is much healthier/necessary to start and end with education as well as getting your doses and giving them your doses. (Which will allow that.
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